ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Jackson Hole vs Marfa: weather in February
Marfa edges out Jackson Hole for sun in February: 19% clear historically versus 0% (8-year ERA5 average, a 19-point gap). Jackson Hole also sees measurably more rain than Marfa this month (50% vs 10% of days). Both are viable — Marfa is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific February. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Jackson Hole
WY
- Clear days, February
- 0%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 32°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 0%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 0%
- Rain frequency
- 50% of days
Marfa
TX
- Clear days, February
- 19%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 65°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 14%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 25%
- Rain frequency
- 10% of days
Compare Jackson Hole vs Marfa in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.