ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Carmel-by-the-Sea vs San Antonio: weather in September
San Antonio edges out Carmel-by-the-Sea for sun in September: 36% clear historically versus 10% (8-year ERA5 average, a 26-point gap). San Antonio also sees measurably more rain than Carmel-by-the-Sea this month (31% vs 5% of days). Both are viable — San Antonio is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific September. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Carmel-by-the-Sea
CA
- Clear days, September
- 10%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 67°F
- Early September (1st–15th)
- 9%
- Late September (16th–end)
- 10%
- Rain frequency
- 5% of days
San Antonio
TX
- Clear days, September
- 36%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 92°F
- Early September (1st–15th)
- 30%
- Late September (16th–end)
- 42%
- Rain frequency
- 31% of days
Compare Carmel-by-the-Sea vs San Antonio in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.