ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Asheville vs Tucson: weather in October
Tucson is the clear winner for sun in October: 82% of days historically clear versus just 23% in Asheville — a 59-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Asheville also sees measurably more rain than Tucson this month (25% vs 9% of days). This isn't close.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific October. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Asheville
NC
- Clear days, October
- 23%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 68°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 33%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 14%
- Rain frequency
- 25% of days
Tucson
AZ
- Clear days, October
- 82%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 78%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 85%
- Rain frequency
- 9% of days
Compare Asheville vs Tucson in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.