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Montana · BZN

Bozeman weather this week

Bozeman, Montana Just your ID

Bozeman scores 9.3 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 16.

9.3/10
Partly clear
2 genuinely clear days, 1 partly cloudy, 1 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 3 vs dull days 1. Bright wins.
Our model tiers this window Perfect, and the clear-day count supports that.

4-day window, zero rain — Sunshine, day after day — 4-days run, 2 genuinely clear, 1 partly cloudy, 80°F

The next 16 days in Bozeman

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (23%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Wed 7 Oct–Sat 10 Oct: 9.3/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.3) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Bozeman daily forecast, Mon 28 Sep to Tue 13 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 4.3. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
66°F 40°F 9% Overcast cloudy 7.8
Overcast, 66°F, toasty with a lid on.
71°F 43°F 2% Mainly clear clear 9.7
Clear skies, 71°F — pack a layer.
70°F 44°F 2% Overcast cloudy 8.2
Overcast, 70°F, dry as a bone.
59°F 43°F 3% Overcast cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 59°F, toasty with a lid on.
68°F 45°F 13% Overcast cloudy 8.0
Overcast, 68°F, toasty with a lid on.
67°F 44°F 13% Overcast cloudy 7.8
Overcast, 67°F, toasty with a lid on.
73°F 47°F 2% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 73°F, dry as a bone.
80°F 55°F 1% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 80°F, dry as a bone.
69°F 49°F 4% Partly cloudy partly 9.0
Partly cloudy, 69°F, not a drop of rain.
70°F 46°F 4% Partly cloudy partly 9.2
Partly cloudy, 70°F, not a drop of rain.
74°F 52°F 3% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 74°F, dry as a bone.
76°F 51°F 4% Mainly clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 76°F, zero drama.
80°F 54°F 3% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 80°F, zero drama.
65°F 38°F 6% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 65°F, toasty with a lid on.
43°F 34°F 6% Light drizzle cloudy 4.3
Overcast, 43°F, toasty with a lid on.
55°F 30°F 23% Overcast cloudy 6.0
Overcast, 55°F, light rain possible.

How this week got its score

  • 4 forecast days: 2 clear/mainly clear, 1 partly cloudy, 1 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 9.4 × 0.55 = 5.16
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 8.5 × 0.25 = 2.12 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 4/4 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Bozeman

The nearest airport we price is BZN. From New York City that is about 4h 13m in the air out of SWF, 1859 miles. Then about 14m to drive from BZN (est. 9 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 4h 27m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Bozeman

15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Bozeman scores 9.3 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Bozeman this week?

No. The current 16-day forecast for Bozeman shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 23% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.

How many clear days does Bozeman have this week?

2. Bozeman has 2 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Bozeman good for a trip this week?

Yes. Bozeman scores 9.3/10 with 2 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.

Bozeman by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Bozeman: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 0% n=248 all destinations →
February 0% n=226 all destinations →
March 0% n=248 all destinations →
April 0% n=240 all destinations →
May 8% n=248 all destinations →
June 38% n=240 all destinations →
July 72% n=248 all destinations →
August 67% n=248 all destinations →
September 48% n=240 all destinations →
October 5% n=248 all destinations →
November 0% n=240 all destinations →
December 0% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Bozeman in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-09-29T02:06:58.524557Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.