California · MRY
Big Sur weather this week
Just your ID
Big Sur scores 9.1 out of 10 and has 9 genuinely clear days out of 16.
14-day window, zero rain — Sunshine, day after day — 14-days run, 9 genuinely clear — 98°F peaks
The next 16 days in Big Sur
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (7%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
Booking window Fri 25 Sep–Thu 8 Oct: 9.1/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.1) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72°F | 57°F | 0% | Fog cloudy | 7.0 Hazy, 72°F — give it an hour. |
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| 67°F | 61°F | 0% | Fog cloudy | 7.0 Hazy, 67°F — give it an hour. |
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| 80°F | 62°F | 0% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Overcast, 80°F, dry as a bone. |
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| 80°F | 60°F | 0% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Overcast, 80°F, dry as a bone. |
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| 76°F | 56°F | 0% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Overcast, 76°F, dry as a bone. |
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| 87°F | 56°F | 2% | Clear clear | 10.0 Clear skies, 87°F, zero drama. |
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| 97°F | 70°F | 1% | Mainly clear clear | 8.3 Clear skies, 97°F — aggressively sunny. |
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| 93°F | 71°F | 2% | Clear clear | 9.3 Clear skies, 93°F — sunscreen is not optional. |
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| 88°F | 67°F | 3% | Mainly clear clear | 9.8 Clear skies, 88°F, zero drama. |
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| 83°F | 67°F | 1% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Overcast, 83°F, dry as a bone. |
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| 85°F | 64°F | 1% | Mainly clear clear | 9.8 Clear skies, 85°F, zero drama. |
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| 84°F | 65°F | 6% | Clear clear | 10.0 Clear skies, 84°F, zero drama. |
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| 87°F | 66°F | 7% | Clear clear | 10.0 Clear skies, 87°F, zero drama. |
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| 84°F | 56°F | 0% | Mainly clear clear | 9.8 Clear skies, 84°F, zero drama. |
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| 87°F | 62°F | 3% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Overcast, 87°F, dry as a bone. |
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| 98°F | 68°F | 0% | Clear clear | 8.3 Clear skies, 98°F — aggressively sunny. |
How this week got its score
- 14 forecast days: 9 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 5 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 9.1 × 0.55 = 5.02
- Worst day drag: worst day is 8.3 × 0.25 = 2.08 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 14/14 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
- Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to Big Sur
The nearest airport we price is MRY. From New York City that is about 5h 36m in the air out of SWF, 2551 miles. Then about 34m to drive from MRY (est. 22 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 6h 10m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in Big Sur
We hold no live hotel rates for Big Sur right now, so there is nothing honest to show here. Rates return as soon as the supplier does — the refresh state is on system status.
So, should you go?
Big Sur scores 9.1 out of 10 and has 9 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.
Frequently asked
Is it raining in Big Sur this week?
No. The current 16-day forecast for Big Sur shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 7% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.
How many clear days does Big Sur have this week?
9. Big Sur has 9 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.
Is Big Sur good for a trip this week?
Yes. Big Sur scores 9.1/10 with 9 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.
Big Sur by month — 8-year ERA5 history
Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.
| Month | Historically clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| February | 5% | n=226 | all destinations → |
| March | 1% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| April | 2% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| May | 5% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| June | 16% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| July | 25% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| August | 38% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| September | 35% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| October | 30% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| November | 14% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| December | 4% | n=248 | all destinations → |
Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Big Sur in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-09-24T02:07:50.537610Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.