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Texas · AUS

Austin weather, next 16 days

Austin, Texas Just your ID

Austin scores 9.0 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 16. Dull days (12) still outnumber bright ones (3), so this is not a good run of weather.

9.0/10
Mostly dull
2 genuinely clear days, 1 partly cloudy, 5 overcast, 7 wet-sky, out of 16 forecast days. Rain is in the hourly forecast on 8 days (127h).
Bright days 3 vs dull days 12. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good forecast.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

4-day run 14–17 Nov, zero rain · 2 clear, rain on 8 of 16 forecast days (127h) — The clouds are winning — 1 clear day out of 4 plus 1 partly cloudy, 77°F · 4-day run 14–17 Nov; rain on 8 of the other 12 days (127h)

The next 16 days in Austin

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (80%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Sat 14 Nov–Tue 17 Nov: 9.0/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.0) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Austin daily forecast, Sun 8 Nov to Mon 23 Nov (16 days total). Best single day scores 9.6; worst scores 3.4. A lone good day cannot carry the forecast.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
64°F 60°F 80% Rain wet 3.4
Rain, 64°F — it'll pass — but 16 hours of rain are in the forecast.
70°F 61°F 49% Drizzle wet 5.9
Drizzle, 70°F — it'll pass — but 11 hours of rain are in the forecast.
71°F 62°F 19% Overcast cloudy 8.1
Overcast, 71°F, dry as a bone.
77°F 62°F 10% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 77°F — but 2 hours of rain are in the forecast.
67°F 57°F 1% Overcast cloudy 7.9
Overcast, 67°F, toasty with a lid on.
69°F 54°F 0% Clear clear 9.6
Clear skies, 69°F — pack a layer.
71°F 55°F 5% Overcast cloudy 8.3
Overcast, 71°F, dry as a bone.
75°F 56°F 15% Mainly clear clear 9.6
Clear skies, 75°F, zero drama.
77°F 60°F 12% Partly cloudy partly 9.3
Partly cloudy, 77°F, not a drop of rain.
76°F 62°F 11% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 76°F, dry as a bone.
75°F 64°F 23% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 75°F — it'll pass — but 9 hours of rain are in the forecast.
72°F 65°F 47% Light drizzle wet 6.4
Light drizzle, 72°F — it'll pass — but 10 hours of rain are in the forecast.
79°F 65°F 45% Light drizzle wet 6.5
Light drizzle, 79°F — it'll pass — but 16 hours of rain are in the forecast.
75°F 65°F 39% Drizzle wet 6.2
Drizzle, 75°F — it'll pass — but 16 hours of rain are in the forecast.
79°F 66°F 32% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 79°F — it'll pass — but 12 hours of rain are in the forecast.
unknown unknown 19% Unknown unknown 6.6
Hazy conditions.

How this forecast got its score

  • 4 forecast days: 1 clear/mainly clear, 1 partly cloudy, 2 overcast or foggy, 0 with a drizzle/rain/snow sky code, 0 stormy (sky codes; rain hours below).
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 8.9 × 0.55 = 4.91
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 8.3 × 0.25 = 2.08 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 4/4 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 9.6 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
  • Hourly forecast: no rain hours in any of the 4 days.
  • Whole 16-day forecast: 2 clear, 1 partly cloudy, 5 overcast or foggy, 7 with a rain sky code, 0 with a storm sky code; rain hours on 8 of them (127h).

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad run, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Austin

The nearest airport we price is AUS. From New York City the fastest itinerary we have seen out of JFK takes 4h 22m (verified, Duffel), nonstop. Then about 11m to drive from AUS (est. 7 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: ~4h 33m (estimated: the drive is a road model). Flight times from 56 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Austin

25 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. Each price is the total for the stay, taxes and mandatory fees included, as last returned for the window above — a held rate, not a quote, and it moves. A hotel whose total with taxes and fees we cannot confirm shows no price.

Hotels: best time to visit and prices by month

Hotels in Austin with enough price history for a month-by-month page: weather by half-month and the nightly rates our searches have observed.

So, should you go?

Austin scores 9.0 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 16. Dull days (12) still outnumber bright ones (3), so this is not a good run of weather. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Austin in the next 16 days?

Yes. 8 of the next 16 days in Austin have rain in the forecast (127 forecast rain hours), peaking at 80% chance on the worst day. The run we list, Sat 14 Nov to Tue 17 Nov, is the stretch that clears our rain bar.

How many clear days does Austin have in the next 16 days?

2. Austin has 2 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Austin good for a trip right now?

Marginal. Austin scores 9.0/10, but dull days (12) still outnumber bright ones (3) over the next 16 days.

Austin by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 16-day forecast above is what is actually coming. They can and do differ.

Austin: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 4% n=248 all destinations →
February 15% n=226 all destinations →
March 26% n=248 all destinations →
April 35% n=240 all destinations →
May 27% n=248 all destinations →
June 32% n=240 all destinations →
July 47% n=248 all destinations →
August 46% n=248 all destinations →
September 41% n=240 all destinations →
October 48% n=248 all destinations →
November 25% n=240 all destinations →
December 11% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Austin in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-11-08T10:00:29.682430Z. Hotel names and rates come from third-party supplier data and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.