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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Asheville in July

Asheville in July is historically a poor month for sun: only 21% of days clear across 8 years (n=248, avg high 84°F). September is the clearest month for Asheville historically. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Asheville page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late July

Clear-sky percentage for Asheville in July, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period % Clear days Sample (n) Avg high
Early July
1st–15th		 24% n=120 84°F
Late July
16th–end		 18% n=128 84°F
Full month average 21% n=248 84°F

Sunshine & warmth in July

A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration), not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a 25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day — because it was. How we define this.

Sunshine-based metrics for Asheville in July. Primary: % of days ≥ 72°F with > 6 h of sunshine.
Period Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) Sample (n)
Early July
1st–15th		 99% n=120
Late July
16th–end		 97% n=128
Full month average 98% n=248
12.6 h median sunshine per day 93% of days exceed 8 h sunshine 57% of days see ≥ 1 mm rain — rain is not hidden
Comparison (old vs new): WMO-code “clear” bar: 21%. Sunshine-based “warm & sunny”: 98%. The 77-point gap is from brief afternoon convective storms that stamp the whole day as “rain” in the WMO code but leave the bulk of the sunshine untouched.

Bottom line

Asheville is mostly overcast in July historically: only 21% of days are clear across 8 years (n=248), avg high 84°F. If you want sun in Asheville, September is historically much better. Most visitors this month will see more clouds than sun.

→ See all destinations in September — historically the best month for sun in Asheville.

Every month in Asheville

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Asheville, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month % Clear Sample (n)
January 0% n=248 All destinations →
February 1% n=226 All destinations →
March 3% n=248 All destinations →
April 19% n=240 All destinations →
May 26% n=248 All destinations →
June 30% n=240 All destinations →
July ← this page 21% n=248 All destinations →
August 25% n=248 All destinations →
September 40% n=240 All destinations →
October 23% n=248 All destinations →
November 4% n=240 All destinations →
December 0% n=248 All destinations →

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.