ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Palm Springs Desert vs Tucson: weather in July
Palm Springs Desert is the clear winner for sun in July: 99% of days historically clear versus just 57% in Tucson — a 42-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Tucson also sees measurably more rain than Palm Springs Desert this month (26% vs 1% of days). This isn't close.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific July. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Palm Springs Desert
CA
- Clear days, July
- 99%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 110°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 100%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 98%
- Rain frequency
- 1% of days
Tucson
AZ
- Clear days, July
- 57%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 100°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 66%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 49%
- Rain frequency
- 26% of days
Compare Palm Springs Desert vs Tucson in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.