ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Nashville vs Turks & Caicos: weather in July
Essentially a tie in July: Nashville is 19% clear historically, Turks & Caicos is 23% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 89°F vs 84°F. Nashville also sees measurably more rain than Turks & Caicos this month (58% vs 26% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Nashville
TN
- Clear days, July
- 19%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 89°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 24%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 14%
- Rain frequency
- 58% of days
Turks & Caicos
TC
- Clear days, July
- 23%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 84°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 31%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 16%
- Rain frequency
- 26% of days
Compare Nashville vs Turks & Caicos in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.