ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Memphis vs Wilmington: weather in March
Essentially a tie in March: Memphis is 8% clear historically, Wilmington is 12% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 65°F vs 67°F. Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific March. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Memphis
TN
- Clear days, March
- 8%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 65°F
- Early March (1st–15th)
- 5%
- Late March (16th–end)
- 11%
Wilmington
NC
- Clear days, March
- 12%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 67°F
- Early March (1st–15th)
- 11%
- Late March (16th–end)
- 13%
Compare Memphis vs Wilmington in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.