ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Memphis vs Punta Mita: weather in September
Memphis is the clear winner for sun in September: 58% of days historically clear versus just 6% in Punta Mita — a 52-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Punta Mita also sees measurably more rain than Memphis this month (82% vs 26% of days). This isn't close.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific September. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Memphis
TN
- Clear days, September
- 58%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 85°F
- Early September (1st–15th)
- 57%
- Late September (16th–end)
- 60%
- Rain frequency
- 26% of days
Punta Mita
MX
- Clear days, September
- 6%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early September (1st–15th)
- 3%
- Late September (16th–end)
- 9%
- Rain frequency
- 82% of days
Compare Memphis vs Punta Mita in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.