ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Jackson Hole vs Los Cabos: weather in May
Los Cabos is the clear winner for sun in May: 98% of days historically clear versus just 3% in Jackson Hole — a 95-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. This isn't close.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific May. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Jackson Hole
WY
- Clear days, May
- 3%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 57°F
- Early May (1st–15th)
- 0%
- Late May (16th–end)
- 6%
- Rain frequency
- 35% of days
Los Cabos
MX
- Clear days, May
- 98%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 87°F
- Early May (1st–15th)
- 99%
- Late May (16th–end)
- 98%
Compare Jackson Hole vs Los Cabos in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.