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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data

Hartford vs Traverse City: weather in October

Hartford edges out Traverse City for sun in October: 11% clear historically versus 5% (8-year ERA5 average, a 6-point gap). Both are viable — Hartford is the safer bet.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast. Either destination can still surprise you this specific October. For this week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.

Hartford

CT

Clear days, October
11%
Sample size
n=248 days
Avg high
64°F
Early October (1st–15th)
15%
Late October (16th–end)
7%

Traverse City

MI

Clear days, October
5%
Sample size
n=248 days
Avg high
58°F
Early October (1st–15th)
8%
Late October (16th–end)
2%

Compare Hartford vs Traverse City in another month

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.