ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Fort Lauderdale vs St. Barthélemy: weather in June
St. Barthélemy edges out Fort Lauderdale for sun in June: 19% clear historically versus 5% (8-year ERA5 average, a 14-point gap). Fort Lauderdale also sees measurably more rain than St. Barthélemy this month (83% vs 32% of days). Both are viable — St. Barthélemy is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific June. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Fort Lauderdale
FL
- Clear days, June
- 5%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early June (1st–15th)
- 4%
- Late June (16th–end)
- 6%
- Rain frequency
- 83% of days
St. Barthélemy
BL
- Clear days, June
- 19%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 82°F
- Early June (1st–15th)
- 17%
- Late June (16th–end)
- 21%
- Rain frequency
- 32% of days
Compare Fort Lauderdale vs St. Barthélemy in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.