ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Anguilla vs Aruba: weather in May
Aruba edges out Anguilla for sun in May: 39% clear historically versus 21% (8-year ERA5 average, a 18-point gap). Both are viable — Aruba is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific May. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Anguilla
AI
- Clear days, May
- 21%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 81°F
- Early May (1st–15th)
- 18%
- Late May (16th–end)
- 24%
Aruba
AW
- Clear days, May
- 39%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 87°F
- Early May (1st–15th)
- 34%
- Late May (16th–end)
- 43%
Compare Anguilla vs Aruba in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.