ES · AGP
Málaga / Costa del Sol weather this week
Málaga / Costa del Sol scores 8.5 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 7.
The model gives this week 8.5 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 0 genuinely clear days and 6 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.
7 cloudy / 0 wet days, no clear days in 7 — Glimpses of sun but no clear sky — 1 partly cloudy day, warm (92°F)
The next 7 days in Málaga / Costa del Sol
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 7 days (10%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
Booking window Fri 14 Aug–Sun 16 Aug: 8.7/10 for those days alone. The 7-day outlook score (8.5) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89°F | 76°F | 0% | Partly cloudy partly | 9.1 Partly cloudy and dry |
|
| 87°F | 77°F | 10% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Cloudy but warm & dry |
|
| 91°F | 77°F | 8% | Overcast cloudy | 8.1 Cloudy and dry |
|
| 92°F | 77°F | 0% | Overcast cloudy | 7.9 Cloudy and dry |
|
| 92°F | 77°F | 3% | Overcast cloudy | 7.8 Cloudy and dry |
|
| 89°F | 77°F | 5% | Overcast cloudy | 8.3 Cloudy but warm & dry |
|
| 87°F | 77°F | 10% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Cloudy but warm & dry |
How this week got its score
- 7 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 1 partly cloudy, 6 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 8.3 × 0.55 = 4.54
- Worst day drag: worst day is 7.8 × 0.25 = 1.95 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 7/7 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
- Best single day is 9.1 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
- Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-14→2026-08-16) scores 8.7 on its own.
- Legacy gate counted 7/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 0 genuinely clear.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to Málaga / Costa del Sol
The nearest airport we price is AGP. From New York City that is about 7h 43m in the air out of ISP, 3612 miles. Then about 8m to drive from AGP (est. 5 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 7h 51m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in Málaga / Costa del Sol
15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.
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$302per night$907 total
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$376per night$1,129 total
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$334per night$1,002 total
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$296per night$888 total
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$244per night$733 total
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$304per night$911 total
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$258per night$775 total
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$310per night$929 total
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$296per night$889 total
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$240per night$719 total
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$475per night$1,425 total
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$521per night$1,562 total
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$401per night$1,204 total
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$530per night$1,589 total
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$409per night$1,226 total
So, should you go?
Málaga / Costa del Sol scores 8.5 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 7. If sunshine is the reason you are travelling, pick somewhere else this week — the full list is sorted by genuinely clear days, so the top of it is where to look.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-14T05:01:09.686221Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.