JP · ITM
Kyoto weather this week
Passport worthy
Kyoto scores 9.2 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16.
The model gives this week 9.2 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 1 genuinely clear day and 1 dull one, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.
4-day window, zero rain — Sunshine, day after day — 4-days run, 1 genuinely clear, 2 partly cloudy, 83°F
The next 16 days in Kyoto
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (100%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
Booking window Wed 30 Sep–Sat 3 Oct: 9.2/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.2) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70°F | 64°F | 100% | Rain wet | 4.1 Rain, 70°F — it'll pass. |
|
| 78°F | 60°F | 16% | Partly cloudy partly | 9.2 Partly cloudy, 78°F, not a drop of rain. |
|
| 83°F | 69°F | 2% | Partly cloudy partly | 9.3 Partly cloudy, 83°F, not a drop of rain. |
|
| 76°F | 61°F | 0% | Mainly clear clear | 9.8 Clear skies, 76°F, zero drama. |
|
| 74°F | 55°F | 0% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Overcast, 74°F, dry as a bone. |
|
| 74°F | 59°F | 75% | Rain showers wet | 4.8 Rain showers, 74°F — it'll pass. |
|
| 72°F | 63°F | 71% | Rain showers wet | 4.9 Rain showers, 72°F — it'll pass. |
|
| 73°F | 59°F | 51% | Light drizzle wet | 6.2 Light drizzle, 73°F — it'll pass. |
|
| 75°F | 57°F | 10% | Clear clear | 10.0 Clear skies, 75°F, zero drama. |
|
| 74°F | 61°F | 25% | Partly cloudy partly | 8.8 Partly cloudy, 74°F, with a sprinkle or two. |
|
| 69°F | 59°F | 17% | Light drizzle wet | 7.0 Light drizzle, 69°F — it'll pass. |
|
| 73°F | 56°F | 10% | Clear clear | 10.0 Clear skies, 73°F, zero drama. |
|
| 71°F | 54°F | 12% | Overcast cloudy | 8.3 Overcast, 71°F, dry as a bone. |
|
| 76°F | 57°F | 14% | Mainly clear clear | 9.6 Clear skies, 76°F, zero drama. |
|
| 72°F | 59°F | 18% | Drizzle wet | 6.2 Drizzle, 72°F — it'll pass. |
|
| 76°F | 64°F | 16% | Drizzle wet | 6.2 Drizzle, 76°F — it'll pass. |
How this week got its score
- 4 forecast days: 1 clear/mainly clear, 2 partly cloudy, 1 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 9.2 × 0.55 = 5.06
- Worst day drag: worst day is 8.5 × 0.25 = 2.12 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 4/4 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
- Best single day is 9.8 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to Kyoto
The nearest airport we price is ITM. From New York City that is about 14h 11m in the air out of SWF, 6843 miles. Then about 38m to drive from ITM (est. 24 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 14h 49m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in Kyoto
15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.
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$483per night$1,450 total
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$309per night$928 total
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$354per night$1,063 total
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$396per night$1,189 total
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$496per night$1,488 total
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$406per night$1,218 total
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$269per night$807 total
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$366per night$1,097 total
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$447per night$1,341 total
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$307per night$920 total
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$282per night$845 total
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$1,700per night$5,100 total
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$1,121per night$3,364 total
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$343per night$1,028 total
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$401per night$1,204 total
So, should you go?
Kyoto scores 9.2 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.
Frequently asked
Is it raining in Kyoto this week?
No. The current 16-day forecast for Kyoto shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 100% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.
How many clear days does Kyoto have this week?
One. Kyoto has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16.
Is Kyoto good for a trip this week?
Yes. Kyoto scores 9.2/10 with 1 genuinely clear day out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.
Kyoto by month — 8-year ERA5 history
Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.
| Month | Historically clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| February | 0% | n=226 | all destinations → |
| March | 1% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| April | 12% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| May | 32% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| June | 31% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| July | 21% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| August | 26% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| September | 25% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| October | 22% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| November | 2% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| December | 0% | n=248 | all destinations → |
Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Kyoto in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-09-29T08:01:15.893424Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.